27 Jun · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1448
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Priesol
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1483
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Priesol
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+35
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.