27 Jun · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1588
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Opanasiuk
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1601
FormWWWLL
49%
51%
🌟Kratochvil rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds · Opanasiuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.