27 Jun · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1556
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Blejchar
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1526
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Blejchar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.