27 Jun · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1569
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Klement
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1562
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Bayer goes over total as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Klement
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H13-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.