27 Jun · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Postelt
ELO 1662
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Postelt
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1588
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
🌟Kratochvil rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds · Postelt
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.