28 Jun · 04:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1503
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolar
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1536
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+33
H2H24-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.