28 Jun · 03:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MP
🇨🇿Marek Placek
ELO 1519
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Placek
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1490
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
🌟Plachy covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Placek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H3-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.