28 Jun · 04:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Franek
ELO 1598
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Barton
AB
🇨🇿Ales Barton
ELO 1624
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Barton
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.