28 Jun · 04:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1490
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Plachy
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1460
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Darin stays under total as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H17-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.