27 Jun · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1456
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bruzek
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1444
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Bruzek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 53% · 1.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.