27 Jun · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KB
🇨🇿Karel Brozhik
ELO 1537
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Brozhik
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1507
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Brozhik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H9-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.