27 Jun · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇨🇿Miroslav Tuma
ELO 1466
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tuma
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1456
FormWWLWW
51%
49%
🌟Tuma goes over total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+10
H2H13-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.