27 Jun · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1444
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Moravek
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Moravek
ELO 1447
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Moravek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 32% · 3.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.