28 Jun · 01:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1515
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Oborny
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1490
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
🌟Plachy covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Oborny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.