27 Jun · 22:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1476
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Levicky
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1299
FormLWLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 72% · 1.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+177
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)