27 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1630
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sychra
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1562
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Bayer goes over total as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H41-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.