28 Jun · 02:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1490
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Plachy
PP
🇨🇿Petr Picek
ELO 1466
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Plachy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+24
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.