27 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl
ELO 1526
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Nohejl
DB
🇨🇿David Barton
ELO 1475
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+51
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.