28 Jun · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1536
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kolar
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Briza
ELO 1470
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H79-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.