27 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MJ
🇨🇿Milan Jasek
ELO 1477
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jasek
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1475
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jasek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.