28 Jun · 02:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AM
🇨🇿Alexander Mikuska
ELO 1498
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Horak
DH
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1503
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Horak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.