27 Jun · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1565
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sychra
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1630
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H13-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.