27 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1483
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zurek
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1548
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H17-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.