27 Jun · 18:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1383
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Tacinec
MT
🇨🇿Martin Tacinec
ELO 1503
FormWLWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Tacinec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+120
H2H19-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-13)