27 Jun · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RV
🇨🇿Radomir Vavrecka
ELO 1548
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vavrecka
MV
🇨🇿Marek Volny
ELO 1522
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Vavrecka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.