27 Jun · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1331
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Svec
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1299
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Svec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 40% · 2.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+32
H2H48-78
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.