27 Jun · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1601
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Postelt
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Postelt
ELO 1662
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Postelt
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.