27 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1448
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hrabec
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrabec
ELO 1484
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Hrabec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+36
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.