27 Jun · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1331
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Berdych
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Berdych
ELO 1345
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Berdych
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+14
H2H14-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.