27 Jun · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1358
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sulava
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1383
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Sulava
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+25
H2H50-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.