27 Jun · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KB
🇨🇿Karel Brozhik
ELO 1537
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bayer
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1562
FormLLWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Bayer
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+25
H2H16-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.