27 Jun · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1391
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.921964
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1358
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · 1964
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+33
H2H68-75
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.