28 Jun · 03:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1503
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Horak
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1457
FormWLLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Horak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+46
H2H9-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.