27 Jun · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1588
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Postelt
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Postelt
ELO 1662
FormLWWLL
46%
54%
🌟Kratochvil rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds · Postelt
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.