27 Jun · 20:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Postelt
ELO 1662
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mares
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1756
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Mares
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H42-58
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)