27 Jun · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Berdych
ELO 1345
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Levicky
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1476
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+131
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)