27 Jun · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PH
🇨🇿Patrik Hanel
ELO 1459
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jasek
MJ
🇨🇿Milan Jasek
ELO 1477
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Jasek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+18
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.