27 Jun · 22:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1526
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zidek
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Levicky
ELO 1499
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Zidek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+27
H2H32-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.