28 Jun · 03:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Briza
ELO 1470
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mikuska
AM
🇨🇿Alexander Mikuska
ELO 1498
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Mikuska
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+28
H2H9-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.