27 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RA
🇨🇿Radek Adamczyk
ELO 1482
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vlk
DV
🇨🇿David Vlk
ELO 1500
49%
51%
Fair odds · Vlk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.