27 Jun · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1462
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mikula
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1469
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mikula
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.