27 Jun · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1469
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mikula
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1469
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mikula
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+0
H2H2-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.