27 Jun · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1559
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zurek
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1469
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+90
H2H0-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)