28 Jun · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1582
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kratochvil
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1611
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kratochvil
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.