28 Jun · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1611
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mares
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1737
FormLWLLL
43%
57%
🌟Kratochvil rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds · Mares
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+126
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)