28 Jun · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1584
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Simecek
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1554
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Simecek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.