28 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Stach
ELO 1398
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stach
JM
🇨🇿Jaroslav Martinek
ELO 1369
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Stach
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.