28 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1671
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dzida
JD
🇨🇿Jan Dzida
ELO 1717
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+46
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.