28 Jun · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Michael Sedlacek
ELO 1753
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sedlacek
JD
🇨🇿Jan Dzida
ELO 1717
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+36
H2H6-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.