28 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1516
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hradecky
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hradecky
ELO 1590
FormLWWLL
46%
54%
🌟Tuma stays under total as underdog 85% (13)
Fair odds · Hradecky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H20-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.